As Bihar heads toward the final phase of its 2025 Assembly Election, all eyes are set on the exit poll results, which are expected to be released after the second phase of polling concludes on November 11, 2025. The battle for Bihar’s 243 assembly seats has turned into one of the most fiercely contested elections in recent history, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s BJP-led NDA facing off against Tejashwi Yadav’s RJD-led Mahagathbandhan (INDIA bloc).
Election Timeline
- Phase 1 Voting: November 6, 2025
- Phase 2 Voting: November 11, 2025
- Counting of Votes: November 14, 2025
- Total Seats: 243
- Major Alliances: NDA (BJP, JD(U), HAM, LJP-RV) vs INDIA Bloc (RJD, Congress, Left parties)
The Election Commission of India (ECI) has strictly prohibited the publication or broadcast of exit poll data until the final phase of voting ends. This rule is meant to ensure fairness and prevent influence on voters during multi-phase elections.
Voter Turnout — Record-Breaking Participation
Bihar has recorded an all-time high voter turnout of 64.66%, according to the Election Commission. This is the highest ever in the state’s history, reflecting growing political engagement, especially among young and first-time voters.
Political analysts believe this surge in turnout may favor the RJD-led alliance, given its strong youth connect, but the BJP’s grassroots organizational strength cannot be underestimated.
Key Battles to Watch
Patna Sahib: A prestige seat where BJP’s candidate faces a tough challenge from Congress.
Raghopur: Tejashwi Yadav’s stronghold — considered a barometer of RJD’s strength
Nalanda: CM Nitish Kumar’s home turf — crucial for NDA morale.
Madhubani and Sitamarhi: Swing constituencies with mixed voting patterns
Why Exit Polls Matter
Exit polls offer a glimpse into voter mood immediately after polling. Conducted at selected booths, they help analysts gauge trends such as caste-based voting shifts, alliance performance, and urban-rural divides
However, exit polls are not final results — they often differ from the actual vote count due to sampling errors, regional biases, or silent voters.
DIGI MERCH STORE PRINT ON DEMAND
The Nitish Factor: Kingmaker or King?
While Nitish Kumar’s role remains central, the question of whether he will continue as CM or support a new NDA face is still open. Within the INDIA bloc, Tejashwi Yadav’s leadership has gained traction among youth, projecting a generational shift in Bihar politics.
Political observers describe this election as “Bihar’s battle for political transition”, where both alliances seek to redefine the state’s leadership narrative.
What Happens Next
- Exit Poll Results: Expected on the night of November 11, 2025
- Counting Day: November 14, 2025
- Government Formation: Expected by mid-November
As soon as polling ends, major media houses like ABP-CVoter, India Today-Axis My India, and Times Now-ETG will publish their exit poll projections. These numbers will offer the first real indication of which alliance may form the next government in Patna.
TejashwiYadav. Affiliatemarketing
BiharOpinionPoll. GraphicReports
BiharElection2025. Partyinvitations
BiharPolitics2025. Twitterposts
BiharVotingPercentage. dailyprompt
Comment
This Bihar exit poll analysis is *peak* dramatic tension! 🤯 Tight Contest definitely understates it. I love how theyre already predicting the Kingmaker drama even before the results are in. Nitish Kumar must be texting himself right now! 😂 And 64.66% turnout? Wow, Bihar voters really went all out, maybe they mistook it for a festival! Cant wait for the night of November 11th when all the major media houses will simultaneously solve the universes mysteries (aka the Bihar result) with their exit polls. Just hope their graphics are as compelling as the analysis! 🎨📊 #BiharElection2025